Giants vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

David Bastl | Updated Oct 18, 2018

falcons v giants

The Giants and Falcons have been two of the biggest underachievers this season, combining for just three wins in 12 games.

AT
October 22, 2018, 8:15 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
7-9
Pointspread +5 +100
Moneyline +190
Over / Under o +53

22%

Betting Action

78%

Pointspread -5 -120
Moneyline -230
Over / Under u +53

22%

Betting Action

78%

Both teams have major star power in Odell Beckham Jr. and Julio Jones but both former Pro-bowlers have combined for just one touchdown this season.

Oddsmakers at Sports Interaction have the Falcons listed at 5.5-point favorites.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Giants are 8-4 in Atlanta lifetime as the visiting team, but this is their first trip to the new stadium. In the last five games, the G-Men are 3-2. The road team in this series is 8 and 3 against the spread in their last 11 games. Surprisingly, the under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings in Atlanta, but I’m not confident that stat will hold up considering that two defences have allowed an average of 59 points against per game.

New York Giants

The Giants head to Atlanta on extended rest having played last the previous Thursday night in week six. At 1-5 this season the positives are few, and the one that is, has been massive for the team. Saquon Barkley has lived up to his second overall pick billing so far this season. He has six of the teams 11 touchdowns (55 percent). Now, the game plan should be more focused on the young running back. The Giants run the ball just 31.42 percent of the time, which is second last in the NFL (Colts ranked 32nd), that simply does not make sense when you have a weapon of Barkley’s quality.

In this game, Barkley will face a Falcons defence that is 31st in total defence and 24th against the run (121.3 yards per game) – he should be in for a great day, as long as he gets the rock. On the defence, the Giants have the 17th ranked defence, but have given up at least 33 points against in the last three games; overall they have averaged 27 points against through six games. The team has not confirmed it just yet, but it appears the Giants best two Tight ends Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison will be back for this game against the Falcons.

Atlanta Falcons

They score points, and they give up points, meet your 2018 Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have the sixth ranked offence in the league, and have averaged 27.8 points per game (ranked 9th). Overall, pretty good, but how long will that last? On Tuesday the team officially placed Devonta Freeman on IR, he’ll be replaced by Ito Smith, and Tevin Coleman. Another blow could be the loss of rookie receiver Calvin Ridley who left last week’s game with an injury. Ridley is listed as questionable for this game versus the Giants.

On defence, they are second last in the NFL (total defence), and have given up an average of 32 points per game which is also second last in the NFL. Additionally, they have had a difficult time stopping teams on third downs, as opposing teams have a 56 percent rate against them (highest in the league). Opponents are also a perfect four for four against the Falcons defence on fourth downs.

The Falcons have only turned the ball over three times (two interceptions, one fumble), but have only seven takeaways. They’ve also had their problems penalty wise, averaging just under 70 penalty yards per game (seventh most penalized team in the NFL).

Giants vs. Falcons Prediction

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