Falcons vs. Redskins Point Spread: NFL Week 9 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Oct 30, 2018

D.J. Swearinger large

Washington already has an elite safety in D.J. Swearinger and just added another one in Ha-Ha Clinton Dix, who comes over in a trade with the Packers.

Atlanta
7-9
AT
November 04, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
FedExField
Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +48

52%

Betting Action

48%

Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -125
Over / Under u +48

52%

Betting Action

48%

The Washington Redskins have grinded out three straight wins to climb to the top of the NFC East with a 5-2 record. Now they will try to create even more separation atop the division against another tough NFC opponent in Week 9. Washington has won six of its last seven home games heading in to this Sunday’s matchup with the Atlanta Falcons. Now they’ll get a boost after acquiring safety Ha-Ha Clinton Dix at the trade deadline. He’s been rated as one of the top two safeties in the NFL by Pro Football Focus and the Redskins already have the other one (D.J. Swearinger). We’ll see if that makes an impact on this week’s game.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Atlanta has been one of the biggest underachievers in the NFL this season with a 2-5 record against the spread. The Falcons are coming off back-to-back wins over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New York Giants but those two home wins came by a combined average of just four points. Atlanta has really struggled on the road dating back to last season with a 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games as the visiting team. The Falcons are 0-5 both straight up and ATS in their last five games as sports betting underdogs.

Meanwhile, Washington has been one of the most pleasant surprises so far this year with a 5-2 ATS record, which is the second-best mark in the NFL. The Redskins have won six of seven at FedEx Field with a 5-1 ATS record in those six wins. Washington is coming off three straight one-score wins with a 5.3-point average margin of victory over that span. The Redskins are currently listed as a 1.5-point favorite versus Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons found a way to scrape out a pair of wins over the Buccaneers and Giants at home to claw their way back to one game below .500. It will be a lot more difficult to actually get to .500 on the road against a tough opponent in Washington. Matt Ryan has been outstanding this season with a 71.1-percent completion rate while throwing for 2,335 yards and 15 touchdowns with just two interceptions. Ryan will need to be at his best on Sunday in order to have a shot against the Redskins. It would certainly help if running backs Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith could get going on the ground. Washington has one of the best run defences in the NFL so it certainly won’t be easy to run the football this week. Meanwhile, the Atlanta defence has done its best to bend but not break in the last two wins but still ranks 30th in the NFL with an average of 30.3 points allowed per game this season. Now they will try to slow down running back Adrian Peterson and company in order to give their offence a chance on the road.

Washington Redskins

The Redskins own the NFL’s second-best run defence with an average of 80.1 rushing yards allowed per game. Meanwhile, Washington also owns a top-10 rushing offence thanks in large part to a rejuvenated Peterson taking care of business on the ground. Peterson ran for 149 yards and registered two touchdowns in last week’s 20-13 win over the New York Giants. Peterson has averaged 4.6 yards per carry while rushing for 587 yards with five total touchdowns this season. The ability to consistently run the football has taken some of the pressure off of quarterback Alex Smith, who has been extremely efficient while limiting turnovers. Smith has completed 63.2-percent of his pass attempts while throwing for 1,561 yards and eight touchdowns compared to two interceptions. If Peterson and Smith do their part this Sunday then Washington should have a pretty good shot at extending its win streak. The Redskins have been one of the better surprises in the NFL early on. Look for that trend to continue as they win and cover at home against the Falcons in Week 9.

Falcons vs. Redskins Prediction

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