Falcons vs. Seahawks Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Pick

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 13, 2017

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Just one game on the Week 11 schedule that features a playoff rematch from last year, and it’s the Monday night matchup with Atlanta visiting Seattle, one of the toughest places to play in the NFL.

Atlanta
10-6
AT
November 20, 2017, 8:30 PM ET
CenturyLink Field
Seattle
9-7
Pointspread -2 -110
Moneyline -130
Over / Under o +47

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread +2 -110
Moneyline +110
Over / Under u +47

58%

Betting Action

42%

This will be the third meeting in 13 months between the teams. Last October in Seattle, the Seahawks were 7-point favourites and rallied for a 26-24 victory.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Falcons outscored the Seahawks 21-0 in the third quarter last October to take a 24-17 lead into the fourth. Seattle won it on a field goal with 1:57 to play. Atlanta had plenty of time after that to score but there was a controversial no-call on a Matt Ryan fourth-down pass to Julio Jones that looked like defensive pass interference. Ryan threw for 335 yards and three scores.

In the divisional round of the playoffs at the old Georgia Dome, the Falcons were 6.5-point favourites and crushed the Seahawks 36-20. Ryan threw for 338 yards and three more scores. Atlanta’s defense picked off Russell Wilson twice. The Falcons are coached by Dan Quinn, a former Seattle defensive coordinator.

Seattle is 8-2 SU in its past 10 as at least a 3-point home favourite but 4-5-1 ATS. Atlanta has lost its past three as a road dog (1-2 ATS).

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS) were the first beneficiaries of the six-game suspension of Cowboys star running back Ezekiel Elliott being reinstated as Atlanta shut down visiting Dallas on Sunday, 27-7. The Falcons, not exactly a defensive powerhouse, held the Cowboys to 233 total yards. Matt Ryan threw for 215 yards and two scores. No. 1 running back Devonta Freeman left in the first quarter with a possible concussion and Tevin Coleman rushed 20 times for 83 yards and a score.

It’s a lock that Atlanta defensive end Adrian Clayborn will be named the NFC Defensive Player of the Week as he was a one-man wrecking crew vs. the Cowboys with a team-record six sacks. He had just two this year entering the game. The NFL record is seven by late Chiefs linebacker Derrick Thomas, set in 1990.

Seattle Seahawks

There’s definitely such a thing as a very costly win, and that was the case for Seattle (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) in its 22-16 victory at NFC West rival Arizona on Thursday in Week 9. That’s because the Seahawks lost one of the best cornerbacks of the decade and potential Hall of Famer in Pro Bowler Richard Sherman to a season-ending ruptured Achilles’ tendon. Sherman, who has never missed a game in his seven-year career, had often publicly railed against the dangers to players of playing Thursday nights. His 32 interceptions are by far the most in the NFL since he arrived in 2011 even though QBs rarely throw his way these days.

Seattle’s defense, anchored by the Legion of Boom secondary, has been the NFL’s best against the pass in the past seven years. Russell Wilson threw two TD passes in the win, both to tight end Jimmy Graham. He now has six TD catches in the past five games after a slow start.

Falcons vs Seahawks Prediction

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