Eagles vs. Browns Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Nov 19, 2020

nick chubb browns

The importance of Nick Chubb’s return from injury cannot be overstated as it transformed the Cleveland offence into a ferocious meatgrinder.

AT
November 22, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland
7-3
Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +124
Over / Under o +45.5

22%

Betting Action

78%

Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -149
Over / Under u +45.5

22%

Betting Action

78%

The last time these two teams squared off the Eagles won 29-10 on Sept. 11, 2016 in Philadelphia, but trail in the all-time series 31-17-1. The Browns are a 3.5-point favourite and the Over/Under is set at 47.0.

NFL Week 11 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This is the third straight game in Cleveland where weather could play a major factor. Rain, cold temperatures and wind gusts off of Lake Erie has pushed scoring way down. In their past two outings the Browns are 1-1 with 16 total points, while giving up a combined 23. Track the conditions and if the forecast remains sloppy, hammer the under.

Philadelphia Eagles

Franchise quarterback Carson Wentz is in the midst of his worst statistical season, and is looking more like an unsure rookie than a five-year pro. Injuries across the board certainly can absorb part of the blame, but Philly’s been getting key pieces back and Wentz is still struggling.

The Eagles offense is ranked 27th (10th rushing, 27th passing), while the defense is in better shape at 11th overall (sixth passing, 26th rushing). Their defensive front is formidable, combining for 21.5 of the club’s 31 sacks (tied for third). However, Cleveland’s strategy, especially in inclement weather, is to handoff to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt as much as possible. Philadelphia’s allowing opponents to gain an average of 133 yards on the ground per game.

It will be interesting to see if coach Doug Pederson leans on the run more as Miles Sanders is averaging a phenomenal six yards per carry in six contests, and Boston Scott’s proving to be a dynamic change of pace scatback. The Eagles are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) versus a team with a winning record.

Cleveland Browns

It may not always be pretty, but the Browns are 4-1 at home and have that same record over their past five ATS when playing at First Energy Stadium.

The importance of Nick Chubb’s return from injury cannot be overstated as it transformed the offense back into a ferocious meatgrinder. Reuniting Chubb and Hunt resulted in the franchise’s first running back duo each rushing for over 100 yards in a single contest since 1966. In swirling winds, Baker Mayfield only threw the ball on 20 occasions, not tossing a touchdown or interception for the second straight game. It would make a lot of sense for Cleveland to look to their backfield as much as possible and build on their NFL’s fourth highest rated rushing attack.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Eagles vs. Browns?

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