Fresh off a narrow win over his former long-time team, Tom Brady has another rivalry game on tap as he leads the Buccaneers into an all-Florida encounter with the visiting Dolphins.
Sunday’s matchup is a pivotal one for the Dolphins, who are tied with the Jets and Patriots at 1-3 in the AFC East – and they’re big-time underdogs against a Brady-led Bucs team that took care of business – barely – in a 19-17 triumph over New England last week.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
If this spread holds, it will mark the fifth time in Brady’s Bucs tenure that Tampa is a double-digit fave – and the previous results have been decidedly mixed, with the Bucs having gone 2-2 ATS (while winning all three comfortably). Tampa Bay has been an offensive force in those contests, averaging an incredible 37.8 points over that four-game span. Miami has proven to be a tough out in these situations, having gone 5-1 ATS in its last six when getting 10+ points.
Sports Interaction bettors aren’t scared off by the massive total, with more than three-quarters of them leaning toward the home team to cover. Yet, the trend of public Over picks hasn’t carried over to this game, with 62 percent opting for the U48 at -110. Tampa Bay is 8-3 O/U in its past 11 games as a favourite, including three straight Overs as a home fave. Miami is also trending in that direction, having gone 6-1 ATS in its previous seven as an underdog of 7+ points.
Miami Dolphins
Is this the week that the Dolphins’ moribund offence finally breaks out? Aside from a 28-point outburst in a Week 3 loss to Indianapolis, Miami has struggled mightily to put up points (ranked 31st in the NFL at 15.5 per game), and a wonky passing game (173.8 yards per game, 30th overall) is largely to blame. QB Jacoby Brissett will look to make inroads against a Tampa Bay defence that has allowed a league-high 327.5 yards per game through the air.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs might be a sieve in pass defence, but they make up for it with an unrelenting offensive attack led by the ageless Brady. He has racked up 1,356 yards and 10 touchdown passes through the first four games, and has even added a rushing score for good measure. And he has spread the wealth so far, with four players (Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Rob Gronkowski, Antonio Brown) having recorded between 21 and 30 targets to date.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Dolphins vs. Buccaneers?
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
| time | fav | line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening 29 Sep 1:50pm | MIA | -9.5 -110 | O +49.5 -110 |
| Closing 10 Oct 3:07pm | MIA | -11 -110 | O +48 -110 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Dolphins Team Leaders
| Touchdowns |
7 |
| Rushing |
612 |
| Passing |
2653 |
| Receiving |
104 |
| Sacks |
9 |
| Interceptions |
5 |
| Touchdowns |
14 |
| Rushing |
812 |
| Passing |
5316 |
| Receiving |
98 |
| Sacks |
10 |
| Interceptions |
3 |
| Touchdowns | |
| Rushing | |
| Passing | Did not qualify |
| Receiving | |
| Sacks | |
| Interceptions |
| Touchdowns |
2 |
| Rushing |
53 |
| Passing |
600 |
| Receiving |
17 |
| Sacks |
1 |
| Interceptions |
1 |
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Buccaneers Team Leaders
| Touchdowns |
7 |
| Rushing |
612 |
| Passing |
2653 |
| Receiving |
104 |
| Sacks |
9 |
| Interceptions |
5 |
| Touchdowns |
14 |
| Rushing |
812 |
| Passing |
5316 |
| Receiving |
98 |
| Sacks |
10 |
| Interceptions |
3 |
| Touchdowns | |
| Rushing | |
| Passing | Did not qualify |
| Receiving | |
| Sacks | |
| Interceptions |
| Touchdowns |
2 |
| Rushing |
53 |
| Passing |
600 |
| Receiving |
17 |
| Sacks |
1 |
| Interceptions |
1 |
Weather
| temp | 84 |
| condition | cloudy |
| wind | North 6mph |
Injuries
Jesse Davis (G)
John Jenkins (DT)
Emmanuel Ogbah (DE)
Preston Williams (CB)
Isaiah Ford (WR)
Phillip Lindsay (RB)
Dexter Williams (RB)
Elandon Roberts (LB)
Adam Butler (DL)
Noah Igbinoghene (CB)
Lavonte David (LB)
Mike Edwards (S)
Jason Pierre-Paul (LB)
Josh Wells (T)
Giovani Bernard (RB)
Breshad Perriman (WR)
Carlton Davis (CB)
Jamel Dean (CB)
Mike Edwards (S)
Mike Evans (WR)
Injuries
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Davis (G) | Prob Sun | Knee - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Davis is expected to take the field against the Patriots on Sunday despite injuries to his knee and elbow. |
|||||
| John Jenkins (DT) | Prob Sun | Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Jenkins is ailing from an illness, but it is likely that he will take on the Patriots on Sunday. |
|||||
| Emmanuel Ogbah (DE) | Prob Sun | Quadricep - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Ogbah has a quad injury, but it is projected that he will face the Patriots on Sunday. |
|||||
| Preston Williams (CB) | Prob Sun | Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Williams is managing an illness, but it will not affect his availability for Sunday's showdown versus the Patriots. |
|||||
| Isaiah Ford (WR) | Prob Sun | Knee - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Ford is projected to face the Patriots on Sunday despite a knee ailment. |
|||||
| Phillip Lindsay (RB) | Prob Sun | Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Lindsay is likely to suit up for Sunday's matchup with the Patriots despite an ankle injury. |
|||||
| Dexter Williams (RB) | Out indefinitely | Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Williams has been moved to the IR/COVID-19 list, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date. |
|||||
| Elandon Roberts (LB) | Ques Sun | Leg - 02 / 01 / 22 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
Roberts exited the last contest with a right leg injury, and it is unknown if he will return to the field against the Patriots on Sunday. |
|||||
| Adam Butler (DL) | Ques Sun | Illness - 01 / 01 / 22 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
Butler is ailing from an illness, and it is undecided if he will battle the Titans on Sunday. |
|||||
| Noah Igbinoghene (CB) | Out indefinitely | Illness - 01 / 01 / 22 | 1-1 | 0-2 | + - |
|
Igbinoghene will miss an undetermined length of time after winding up on the COVID-19 list. |
|||||
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavonte David (LB) | Ques Sun | Foot - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
David is nursing a foot injury, and it is undecided if he will partake in the NFC divisional round versus the Rams. |
|||||
| Mike Edwards (S) | Prob Sun | Elbow - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Edwards is projected to participate in the NFC divisional round against the Rams despite an elbow injury. |
|||||
| Jason Pierre-Paul (LB) | Ques Sun | Personal - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Pierre-Paul is tending to a personal matter, and it has yet to be established if he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams. |
|||||
| Josh Wells (T) | Ques Sun | Quadricep - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Wells is managing a quad issue, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against the Rams in the NFC divisional round. |
|||||
| Giovani Bernard (RB) | Prob Sun | Hip - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Bernard has injuries to his hip and knee, but it is anticipated that he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams. |
|||||
| Breshad Perriman (WR) | Out Sun | Abdominal - 19 / 01 / 22 | 1-0 | 0-1 | + - |
|
Perriman has injuries to his abdomen and hip, and it will affect his status for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams. |
|||||
| Carlton Davis (CB) | Prob Sun | Back - 14 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Davis is battling a back injury, but it is projected that he will partake in the NFC wild-card game versus the Eagles. |
|||||
| Jamel Dean (CB) | Prob Sun | Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Dean has a hamstring injury, but it is not expected to affect his availability against the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game. |
|||||
| Mike Edwards (S) | Ques Sun | Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game. |
|||||
| Mike Evans (WR) | Prob Sun | Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 | 2-0 | 1-1 | + - |
|
Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, but it is anticipated that he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game. |
|||||
-
MIAMI DOLPHINS
31 -
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
34
Score
Prediction
-
Line History
Sports Interaction customers are placing their bets on:
time fav line total Opening 29 Sep 1:50pm MIA -9.5 -110 O +49.5 -110 Closing 10 Oct 3:07pm MIA -11 -110 O +48 -110 -
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Dolphins Team Leaders
Touchdowns 7
Rushing 612
Passing 2653
Receiving 104
Sacks 9
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 14
Rushing 812
Passing 5316
Receiving 98
Sacks 10
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns Rushing Passing Did not qualify Receiving Sacks Interceptions Touchdowns 2
Rushing 53
Passing 600
Receiving 17
Sacks 1
Interceptions 1
-
- Regular Season
- Playoffs
Buccaneers Team Leaders
Touchdowns 7
Rushing 612
Passing 2653
Receiving 104
Sacks 9
Interceptions 5
Touchdowns 14
Rushing 812
Passing 5316
Receiving 98
Sacks 10
Interceptions 3
Touchdowns Rushing Passing Did not qualify Receiving Sacks Interceptions Touchdowns 2
Rushing 53
Passing 600
Receiving 17
Sacks 1
Interceptions 1
-
Weather
temp 84 condition cloudy wind North 6mph -
Injuries
Jesse Davis (G)
Prob Sun Knee - 05 / 01 / 22John Jenkins (DT)
Prob Sun Illness - 05 / 01 / 22Emmanuel Ogbah (DE)
Prob Sun Quadricep - 05 / 01 / 22Preston Williams (CB)
Prob Sun Illness - 05 / 01 / 22Isaiah Ford (WR)
Prob Sun Knee - 05 / 01 / 22Phillip Lindsay (RB)
Prob Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22Dexter Williams (RB)
Out indefinitely Illness - 05 / 01 / 22Elandon Roberts (LB)
Ques Sun Leg - 02 / 01 / 22Adam Butler (DL)
Ques Sun Illness - 01 / 01 / 22Noah Igbinoghene (CB)
Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 01 / 22Lavonte David (LB)
Ques Sun Foot - 19 / 01 / 22Mike Edwards (S)
Prob Sun Elbow - 19 / 01 / 22Jason Pierre-Paul (LB)
Ques Sun Personal - 19 / 01 / 22Josh Wells (T)
Ques Sun Quadricep - 19 / 01 / 22Giovani Bernard (RB)
Prob Sun Hip - 19 / 01 / 22Breshad Perriman (WR)
Out Sun Abdominal - 19 / 01 / 22Carlton Davis (CB)
Prob Sun Back - 14 / 01 / 22Jamel Dean (CB)
Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22Mike Edwards (S)
Ques Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22Mike Evans (WR)
Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22Injuries
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Jesse Davis (G) Prob Sun Knee - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Davis is expected to take the field against the Patriots on Sunday despite injuries to his knee and elbow.
John Jenkins (DT) Prob Sun Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Jenkins is ailing from an illness, but it is likely that he will take on the Patriots on Sunday.
Emmanuel Ogbah (DE) Prob Sun Quadricep - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Ogbah has a quad injury, but it is projected that he will face the Patriots on Sunday.
Preston Williams (CB) Prob Sun Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Williams is managing an illness, but it will not affect his availability for Sunday's showdown versus the Patriots.
Isaiah Ford (WR) Prob Sun Knee - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Ford is projected to face the Patriots on Sunday despite a knee ailment.
Phillip Lindsay (RB) Prob Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Lindsay is likely to suit up for Sunday's matchup with the Patriots despite an ankle injury.
Dexter Williams (RB) Out indefinitely Illness - 05 / 01 / 22 0-1 0-1 + - Williams has been moved to the IR/COVID-19 list, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
Elandon Roberts (LB) Ques Sun Leg - 02 / 01 / 22 1-1 0-2 + - Roberts exited the last contest with a right leg injury, and it is unknown if he will return to the field against the Patriots on Sunday.
Adam Butler (DL) Ques Sun Illness - 01 / 01 / 22 1-1 0-2 + - Butler is ailing from an illness, and it is undecided if he will battle the Titans on Sunday.
Noah Igbinoghene (CB) Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 01 / 22 1-1 0-2 + - Igbinoghene will miss an undetermined length of time after winding up on the COVID-19 list.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes Lavonte David (LB) Ques Sun Foot - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - David is nursing a foot injury, and it is undecided if he will partake in the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Mike Edwards (S) Prob Sun Elbow - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - Edwards is projected to participate in the NFC divisional round against the Rams despite an elbow injury.
Jason Pierre-Paul (LB) Ques Sun Personal - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - Pierre-Paul is tending to a personal matter, and it has yet to be established if he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Josh Wells (T) Ques Sun Quadricep - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - Wells is managing a quad issue, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against the Rams in the NFC divisional round.
Giovani Bernard (RB) Prob Sun Hip - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - Bernard has injuries to his hip and knee, but it is anticipated that he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Breshad Perriman (WR) Out Sun Abdominal - 19 / 01 / 22 1-0 0-1 + - Perriman has injuries to his abdomen and hip, and it will affect his status for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Carlton Davis (CB) Prob Sun Back - 14 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-1 + - Davis is battling a back injury, but it is projected that he will partake in the NFC wild-card game versus the Eagles.
Jamel Dean (CB) Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-1 + - Dean has a hamstring injury, but it is not expected to affect his availability against the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.
Mike Edwards (S) Ques Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-1 + - Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.
Mike Evans (WR) Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22 2-0 1-1 + - Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, but it is anticipated that he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.