Colts vs. Chargers Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 1 Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Sep 05, 2019

jacoby-brissett-colts

The Colts enter the 2019 season having been dealt the biggest blow you can receive – and oddsmakers have been quick to jump all over the news as the Colts kick off the campaign Sunday against the host Chargers.

AT
September 08, 2019, 4:05 PM ET
Dignity Health Sports Park
Pointspread +6 -112
Moneyline +232
Over / Under o +44.5

29%

Betting Action

71%

Pointspread -6 -108
Moneyline -280
Over / Under u +44.5

29%

Betting Action

71%

The shocking retirement of quarterback Andrew Luck has thrown the team into turmoil, and led to oddsmakers slapping +350 odds on the team to make the playoffs this season.

2019 NFL Team Futures

To make the play-offs - Indianapolis Colts
  • Yes -357
  • No +225

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This game opened at Chargers -3 – and as you might have guessed, that line predates Luck’s unexpected announcement. But has the line risen too much? The Colts are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games as underdogs of six or more points, though Luck was at the helm for those games. More significant, perhaps, is the fact that the Chargers covered just two of their seven games as a home favourite in 2018, while losing three of them outright.

Luck’s retirement has also affected the total, which has dipped three points from an opening of 47.5. And Sports Interaction bettors appear to see this as a profit play, with 69 percent in favour of the over. But Los Angeles is on a major under roll, having gone below the number in 18 of its previous 25 games against AFC opponents. And the Colts are 6-1 to the under in their past seven vs. conference foes, and 4-1 to the under in their last five road games overall.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts will turn to Jacoby Brissett as Luck’s immediate replacement – though Brissett is far from a secure option as the starter, with Brian Hoyer signing on to be the backup. The team still has skilled playmakers in the fold, with running back Marlon Mack expected to be a three-down option while T.Y. Hilton is joined by a host of newcomers in the pass-catching department. The Colts should also benefit from the return of tight end Jack Doyle.

Los Angeles Chargers

Philip Rivers keeps chugging along, heading into his age-39 season as the leader of a Chargers team sitting at +1400 to win the Super Bowl. But with disgruntled running back Melvin Gordon likely having played his final snap with the team, Los Angeles rolls into the season with uncertainty at the position. Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson will form a committee in Week 1, with Jackson expected to handle early downs and Ekeler in for the passing-down snaps.

Who Will Win Colts vs. Chargers?

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