Scoreboard	1	2	3	4	Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9	7	3	7	7	+46.5
New Orleans Saints 13-3	3	14	7	7	-3

Scoreboard

Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-9

+46.5

New Orleans Saints 13-3

-3

NFL
Andrew Rogers
October 1, 2019

Buccaneers vs. Saints Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 5 Odds

With quarterback Drew Brees out several more weeks, the Saints have placed an even greater emphasis on defence – and the results were terrific, with New Orleans coming off a 12-10 win over Dallas.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Pointspread

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -110 +3
New Orleans Saints -110 -3

This one is too close to call on neutral footing; fortunately for the Saints, they’ll enjoy home-field advantage and the slight odds boost that comes with it. But New Orleans has been a dreadful home cover option of late, having gone just 1-5 ATS in its last six games at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Bucs, meanwhile are on a 4-0-1 ATS heater in their last five on the road and have covered seven of their previous 10 meetings with AFC South opponents.

Sunday’s matchup carries a total of 47, and over bettors will no doubt be tempted by the fact that the Bucs surpassed that number by themselves last week. But these teams have been an under bettor’s dream in recent years, having finished below the total in 15 of their previous 21 head-to-head encounters (though two of those six overs have come in their last three tilts.) The Saints are also 9-2 to the under in their last 11 against the NFC.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Who needs a run game when the passing offence looks this good? The Buccaneers entered the season with plenty of question marks – the running back situation and quarterback Jameis Winston chief among them. But while the rush attack is still a work in progress (averaging 3.8 yards per carry), Winston has looked like an NFL MVP candidate the past two weeks with 765 passing yards and seven touchdowns in victories over the Giants and Rams.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints rank in or near the bottom-third in the NFL in total defence and pass defence, but they have shown flashes of stardom when it comes to run defence. They limited Cowboys star running back Ezekiel Elliott to 35 yards on 18 carries in last week’s victory, vaulting them into 13th in the league in total run defence. They’ve also held four of their past seven divisional opponents to 21 or fewer points at home, which is progress.