Browns vs. Ravens Point Spread: NFL Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Andy McNamara | Updated Sep 09, 2020

ravens browns 2020

The Browns will obviously need to improve on their 2019 stat line of allowing the third most rushing yards if they hope to contain Lamar Jackson and Co.

Cleveland
11-5
AT
September 13, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore
11-5
Pointspread +7 -110
Moneyline +282
Over / Under o +47.5

27%

Betting Action

73%

Pointspread -7 -110
Moneyline -344
Over / Under u +47.5

27%

Betting Action

73%

This might not be the lopsided opener that the general public is expecting when the Cleveland Browns take on the Ravens for Week 1.

Say what you want about crowd noise, atmosphere, etc. when it comes to effecting a betting line, but M&T Stadium in Baltimore is a difficult place to play. What will no fans in the stands mean, if anything, for this AFC North showdown?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Despite the Browns’ poor records in recent years they’ve actually played the Ravens relatively well on the road, winning seven of their past 10. In fact, Cleveland gave Baltimore their last regular season defeat back in Week 4. That was a 40-25 smackdown where running back Nick Chubb galloped to 165 rushing yards and three touchdowns.

The Ravens did redeem themselves in Cleveland on Dec. 15 as Lamar Jackson gashed out three passing scores and 103 yards on the ground.

Browns are 5-14-1 against the spread (ATS)  in Week 1 and 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. That’s compared to Baltimore’s 4-0 opening weekend record, but who are just 5-11 ATS in the past 16 home matchups. They’re the favourites at a point spread of -8.5 with the visiting squad having a 15-5-1 ATS advantage head-to-head. The over/under is set at 48.5-points, and in their seven most recent meetings the score’s gone under on five occasions.

Cleveland Browns

It’s tough to go on past betting projections for the Browns since they yet again have a new head coach. There was even less time than usual to learn the new systems with the pandemic shortened offseason. Will the unknown benefit or hurt the team as they head into Baltimore?

The unorganized disastrous offense from a year ago is replaced with quarterback friendly Mike Shanahan inspired wide zone scheme under Kevin Stefanski. This focuses on rushing the ball, play action, and two tight end sets. That should mean a heavy dose of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt with fewer passing attempts from Baker Mayfield.

Reports out of training camp have Cleveland’s new defensive gameplan as a 4-2-5 base with roaming safeties and an expected destructive presence from the returning Myles Garrett. The Browns will obviously need to improve on their 2019 stat line of allowing the third most rushing yards if they hope to contain Lamar Jackson and company.

Baltimore Ravens

Reigning MVP and division champs, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have all eyes on them entering this 2020 campaign. Continuity is huge in this COVID-19 world as Baltimore’s coaching staff can continue to build on the successes from both sides of the ball.

It will be interesting to see if the home crew can take advantage of a Cleveland defense that had to overcome multiple training camp injuries. If they do then this could quickly turn into a shootout and push that 48.5-over/under to the over side.

Big picture, the Ravens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11-games.

Who Will Win Browns vs. Ravens?

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