Bengals vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Charlie Grant | Updated Sep 26, 2018

The Atlanta Falcons are banged up on defence, but oddsmakers have them set as 5-point favourites in this weekend's date with the Cincinnati Bengals.

Cincinnati
6-10
AT
September 30, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
7-9
Pointspread +3.5 -120
Moneyline +160
Over / Under o +52.5

46%

Betting Action

54%

Pointspread -3.5 +100
Moneyline -190
Over / Under u +52.5

46%

Betting Action

54%

The Atlanta Falcons are missing multiple defensive starters, but they’re still sizable favourites this weekend at home against the Cincinnati Bengals. Matt Ryan and Co. will have to be firing on all cylinders again for the Falcons to cover the spread against Cincy.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Sports Interaction opened with the Falcons as 5.5-point home faves and moved the spread up to -6 earlier this week. That proved to be too high in the eyes of bettors and the spread dropped back a full point to Atlanta -5.

The Bengals are 15-6-2 against the spread in their last 23 September games and 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games overall. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an outing where they allowed 250 or more passing yards. But Atlanta is also 4-1 ATS in its last five games coming off a loss, including this season when the team bounced back from a Week 1 defeat against the Philadelphia Eagles.

The total opened 48 but has been bet all the way up to 51.5. That’s a large move for an NFL total. Cincinnati and Atlanta rank 26th and 27th in the total defence.

The Over is a combined 5-1 in the two clubs’ games this season and 4-0 in the Bengals’ last four games overall. The Over is also 15-6 in Atlanta’s last 21 home games.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals star receiver A.J. Green was limited in practice this week because of pain in both of his hips. The seven-time Pro Bowl player leads Cincinnati with 16 catches and four touchdowns this season. The Bengals are already down No. 1 running back Joe Mixon.

The second year player out of Oklahoma missed last week’s game against the Baltimore Ravens because of a knee injury. Mixon is listed as questionable but Cincy beat reporters consider the tailback to be a long shot to play on Sunday.

Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons’ defensive starters are dropping like flies. Atlanta already lost Pro Bowlers Deion Jones (MLB) and Keanu Neal (FS) to long-term injuries. The club learned earlier this week it will have to now get by without defensive leader and starting strong safety Ricardo Allen. To make matters worse, starting defensive end is questionable to play against the Bengals because of a groin strain.

It’s not all bad news for Dirty Bird backers. Rookie wideout Calvin Ridley is coming off a breakout performance last weekend (seven catches for 146 yards and three TDs) and could be an X-factor again this week.

Bengals vs. Falcons Prediction

SportsInteraction