Bengals vs. Chiefs Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 1 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Aug 07, 2019

Head Coach Andy Reid will be evaluating the battle for the No. 3 running back role behind Damien Williams and Carlos Hyde throughout the preseason.

August 10, 2019, 8:00 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Pointspread +3.5 -119
Moneyline +145
Over / Under o +38
Pointspread -3.5 -101
Moneyline -174
Over / Under u +38

Bettors never have much to go on in the opening week of the NFL pre-season – but there’s a fun trend that exists between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs as the teams prepare to open their exhibition campaigns Saturday night at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs come in having won all nine of the pre-season meetings between the clubs, most recently earning a 30-12 victory at Paul Brown Stadium in the second week of the 2017 pre-season.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Chiefs are getting an ever-so-slight bump over the standard three-point home edge in this one, a modest drop from the opening line of -5. Kansas City is also a strong straight bet here, listed at -179 compared to the visiting Bengals at +149. While trends don’t play as well during the pre-season, it is notable that the Bengals have covered each of their previous four road games and are an equally perfect 4-0 ATS in their past four against AFC opponents.

As with most Week 1 pre-season games, the total for this one is a delightfully low 37. But while oddsmakers are always cautious when it comes to those early totals, it’s worth mentioning that 11 of the 16 games that took place in Week 1 of the 2018 pre-season produced 40 or more points. And while it was a different set of personnel responsible for this trend, Kansas City comes in having converted the over in six of its previous eight games overall.

Cincinnati Bengals

While the Bengals will almost certainly face scrutiny about their ability to put up points this season – and A.J. Green’s ankle injury certainly won’t help matters – this team boasts a truly impressive secondary, at least on paper. William Jackson III, DArqueze Dennard, B.W. Webb and Dre Kirkpatrick make up a solid roster of cornerbacks, while the team’s leading tackler Jessie Bates III gets in another year of experience as the team’s top free safety.

Kansas City Chiefs

While the Chiefs have almost the exact opposite setup of the Bengals (namely, a high-powered offence and suspect defence) the battle for the No. 3 running back role behind Damien Williams and Carlos Hyde will likely be the focus in Pre-Season Week 1 – and should be an interesting one. Darrel Williams is the third-string RB on the team’s first depth chart, but could face challenges from Darwin Thompson, Josh Caldwell and Marcus Marshall, among others.