Bears vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 21, 2020

While the Bears haven’t played an offense as great as the Falcons yet this year, their defense still ranks third in the league in total points allowed so far.

Chicago
8-8
AT
September 27, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
4-12
Pointspread +2.5 -104
Moneyline +118
Over / Under o +46

17%

Betting Action

83%

Pointspread -2.5 -116
Moneyline -142
Over / Under u +46

17%

Betting Action

83%

The Atlanta Falcons were an abject disaster in Week 2, blowing a 20-point lead in Dallas. Now the calls to fire head coach Dan Quinn are going to reach a fever pitch. Losing to the Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys – two teams favored to win their divisions – might be understandable but losing to the Chicago Bears at home won’t be. The Falcons need a win in the worst way but will they get it?

Bears vs. Falcons Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The under is 10-1 in the Bears last 11 games when allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their game prior. It is also 9-2 in their last 11 games when coming in as the road underdog. To make the under even more enticing, it is 7-2 in their last nine when coming in as an underdog. Chicago is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against an NFC opponent and only 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

The over is 7-0 in the Falcons last seven games in Week 3 and 5-0 in their last five against an NFC opponent. It is also 5-1 in their last six games overall. Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall but are only 2-5 ATS when coming in as the favorite.

Chicago Bears

While the Bears haven’t played an offense as great as the Falcons yet this year, their defense still ranks third in the league in total points allowed so far. The combination of Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks on the defensive line has continued to give opposing quarterbacks headaches, as they combine for three sacks on the year so far. They’ll need to get after Matt Ryan to throw off this elite passing game, which ranks second in the NFL.

The Bears are 2-0 right now due to the improvement of their young quarterback Mitchell Trubisky after his terrible season last year. He has thrown for 432 yards and five touchdowns so far and has looked a lot more confident moving around in the pocket and delivering big time throws. He was also able to lead a huge comeback effort against the Detroit Lions in Week 1 and he did enough in Week 2 against the New York Giants. This offense still has concerns but they’ve played well enough to get by so far.

Atlanta Falcons

It is tough to be a Falcons fan right now. After choking away a 20-0 only to lose 40-39 in Week 2. Their defense ranks 32nd in the league right now in total points allowed with 78 and that’s only through two games. They just don’t have much talent at all on the defensive side of the ball and it doesn’t seem like this group will improve at all throughout the year. However, the Falcons offense ranks sixth in the league in total points scored with 64 and has looked really good so far this season. They have a flurry of weapons in the passing game and they’ll have to use them here.

The Bears are 2-0 but it’s mostly by the skin of their teeth. They probably should have lost in Detroit in Week 1 and the Giants got down to the goal line at the end of the game in Week 2, nearly stealing the game. They’re not as good as they appear. Atlanta should get back on track in Week 3.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Bears vs. Falcons?

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