The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 5-1 on the season and are the Super Bowl favourite. On Sunday, they’re expected to move to 6-1 as they’re a double-digit favourite at home to the Chicago Bears. The Bears continue to roll with rookie Justin Fields under center and while the mood in Chicago is positive, the results are quite tepid.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Bears haven’t fared well against winning teams as they’re 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven against teams with a winning record. They’re also 1-5 ATS in their last six as an underdog.

As for the Bucs, they failed to cover last week but are 6-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. They’re also 6-1 ATS in their last seven at home.

Chicago Bears

The Bears have handed Justin Fields the keys to the car but the results have been mixed so far. At times, he’s able to move the ball and avoid turnovers, and at other times, it looks like the same ol’ broken Bears offence. Fields’ stats don’t look great as his 23.4 QBR is 31^st in the NFL and he has just 494 passing yards, two touchdowns and two picks in his last three games. He’s yet to complete more than 16 passes in an NFL game; if the Bucs turn this into a shootout, the Bears are in trouble.

The big concern for the Bears here is that they’ve been walloped by some of the better teams in the NFL and they’re up against another one this week. They’ve lost to the Los Angeles Rams, Cleveland Browns and Green Bay Packers, and each of those losses were by at least 10 points. It’s hard to trust them in this spot – especially on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs have been off since last Thursday and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. Their only loss on the year was on the road to the Los Angeles Rams, who are one of the best teams in the league. They have had 10 days to prepare for this contest – one that should be pretty straightforward. However, the Bucs have had a number of close calls of late. They nearly blew a big second-half lead against the Philadelphia Eagles and they eked out a two-point win over the New England Patriots. Granted, both of those games were on the road but it does look like there are some cracks in the armour.

The one thing the Bucs have going for them is revenge. They lost to Chicago last year in a game where Brady was somewhat embarrassed when he forgot what down it was late in the game. Rest assured that he hasn’t forgotten that. That will likely lead to a focused effort from him and a big Bucs win.

Who Will Win Bears vs. Buccaneers?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Bears Team Leaders

CHI

Touchdowns	David Montgomery 7
Rushing	David Montgomery 849
Passing	Justin Fields 1870
Receiving	Darnell Mooney 81
Sacks	Robert Quinn 18.5
Interceptions	Tashaun Gipson Sr. 2

TB

Touchdowns	Mike Evans 14
Rushing	Leonard Fournette 812
Passing	Tom Brady 5316
Receiving	Chris Godwin 98
Sacks	Shaquil Barrett 10
Interceptions	Mike Edwards 3

CHI

Touchdowns
Rushing
Passing	Did not qualify
Receiving
Sacks
Interceptions

TB

Touchdowns	Mike Evans 2
Rushing	Ke'Shawn Vaughn 53
Passing	Tom Brady 600
Receiving	Mike Evans 17
Sacks	Steve McLendon 1
Interceptions	Shaquil Barrett 1

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Buccaneers Team Leaders

CHI

Touchdowns	David Montgomery 7
Rushing	David Montgomery 849
Passing	Justin Fields 1870
Receiving	Darnell Mooney 81
Sacks	Robert Quinn 18.5
Interceptions	Tashaun Gipson Sr. 2

TB

Touchdowns	Mike Evans 14
Rushing	Leonard Fournette 812
Passing	Tom Brady 5316
Receiving	Chris Godwin 98
Sacks	Shaquil Barrett 10
Interceptions	Mike Edwards 3

CHI

Touchdowns
Rushing
Passing	Did not qualify
Receiving
Sacks
Interceptions

TB

Touchdowns	Mike Evans 2
Rushing	Ke'Shawn Vaughn 53
Passing	Tom Brady 600
Receiving	Mike Evans 17
Sacks	Steve McLendon 1
Interceptions	Shaquil Barrett 1

Weather

temp	76
condition	light-rain
wind	South 7mph

Injuries

Chicago

Eddie Goldman (DL)

Prob Sun Finger - 05 / 01 / 22

Akiem Hicks (DL)

Out Sun Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22

Jesper Horsted (TE)

I-R Undisclosed - 05 / 01 / 22

J.P. Holtz (TE)

Ques Sun Personal - 02 / 01 / 22

Eddie Goldman (DL)

Prob Sun Finger - 30 / 12 / 21

Darnell Mooney (WR)

Prob Sun Ankle - 30 / 12 / 21

Cairo Santos (K)

Prob Sun Ribs - 30 / 12 / 21

Duke Shelley (DB)

Out Sun Heel - 30 / 12 / 21

Caleb Johnson (LB)

Prob Sun Shoulder - 30 / 12 / 21

Christian Jones (LB)

Prob Sun Finger - 26 / 12 / 21

Tampa Bay

Lavonte David (LB)

Ques Sun Foot - 19 / 01 / 22

Mike Edwards (S)

Prob Sun Elbow - 19 / 01 / 22

Jason Pierre-Paul (LB)

Ques Sun Personal - 19 / 01 / 22

Josh Wells (T)

Ques Sun Quadricep - 19 / 01 / 22

Giovani Bernard (RB)

Prob Sun Hip - 19 / 01 / 22

Breshad Perriman (WR)

Out Sun Abdominal - 19 / 01 / 22

Carlton Davis (CB)

Prob Sun Back - 14 / 01 / 22

Jamel Dean (CB)

Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22

Mike Edwards (S)

Ques Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22

Mike Evans (WR)

Prob Sun Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22

Injuries

Chicago

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Eddie Goldman (DL)	Prob Sun	Finger - 05 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Goldman is expected to face the Vikings on Sunday despite a finger injury.
Akiem Hicks (DL)	Out Sun	Ankle - 05 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Hicks is nursing an ankle issue, and he will not take the field against the Vikings on Sunday.
Jesper Horsted (TE)	I-R	Undisclosed - 05 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Horsted has been moved to the injured reserve list with an injury to an unlisted location.
J.P. Holtz (TE)	Ques Sun	Personal - 02 / 01 / 22	2-0	1-1	+ -
Holtz sat out the last contest tending to a personal matter, and it is unknown if he will be available for Sunday's tilt against the Vikings.
Eddie Goldman (DL)	Prob Sun	Finger - 30 / 12 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Goldman is expected to take the field against the Giants on Sunday despite a finger injury.
Darnell Mooney (WR)	Prob Sun	Ankle - 30 / 12 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Mooney is projected to be active for Sunday's game against the Giants despite an ankle injury.
Cairo Santos (K)	Prob Sun	Ribs - 30 / 12 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Santos is bothered by a rib injury, but he is expected to line up against the Giants on Sunday.
Duke Shelley (DB)	Out Sun	Heel - 30 / 12 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Shelley was absent during the last game due to a heel injury, and he will not partake in Sunday's matchup with the Vikings.
Caleb Johnson (LB)	Prob Sun	Shoulder - 30 / 12 / 21	2-0	1-1	+ -
Johnson is expected to take part in Sunday's clash with the Giants despite a shoulder injury.
Christian Jones (LB)	Prob Sun	Finger - 26 / 12 / 21	2-1	1-2	+ -
Jones was lifted from the previous game with a finger injury, but it is anticipated that he will lace up against the Giants on Sunday.

Tampa Bay

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Lavonte David (LB)	Ques Sun	Foot - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
David is nursing a foot injury, and it is undecided if he will partake in the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Mike Edwards (S)	Prob Sun	Elbow - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Edwards is projected to participate in the NFC divisional round against the Rams despite an elbow injury.
Jason Pierre-Paul (LB)	Ques Sun	Personal - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Pierre-Paul is tending to a personal matter, and it has yet to be established if he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Josh Wells (T)	Ques Sun	Quadricep - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Wells is managing a quad issue, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against the Rams in the NFC divisional round.
Giovani Bernard (RB)	Prob Sun	Hip - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Bernard has injuries to his hip and knee, but it is anticipated that he will line up for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Breshad Perriman (WR)	Out Sun	Abdominal - 19 / 01 / 22	1-0	0-1	+ -
Perriman has injuries to his abdomen and hip, and it will affect his status for the NFC divisional round versus the Rams.
Carlton Davis (CB)	Prob Sun	Back - 14 / 01 / 22	2-0	1-1	+ -
Davis is battling a back injury, but it is projected that he will partake in the NFC wild-card game versus the Eagles.
Jamel Dean (CB)	Prob Sun	Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22	2-0	1-1	+ -
Dean has a hamstring injury, but it is not expected to affect his availability against the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.
Mike Edwards (S)	Ques Sun	Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22	2-0	1-1	+ -
Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.
Mike Evans (WR)	Prob Sun	Hamstring - 12 / 01 / 22	2-0	1-1	+ -
Edwards is nursing a hamstring injury, but it is anticipated that he will face the Eagles in the NFC wild-card game.