2021 Super Bowl Prediction: Bet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Feb 06, 2021

tampa bay buccaneers 2021

Thinking about betting the Bucs? Here's a deep look into Tampa Bay's Super Bowl odds and some predictions.

AT
February 07, 2021, 6:30 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
11-5
Pointspread -3 -105
Moneyline -150
Over / Under o +56.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

Pointspread +3 -115
Moneyline +127
Over / Under u +56.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

Tom Brady doesn’t need anymore records to secure his legacy.  He has six Super Bowl rings and four Super Bowl MVPs in nine appearances in the big game.  But, with possibly the deepest set of receiving options he’s ever had and the best run defence in the league, Brady has a solid chance to add to what already seems like a video game career in his 10th Super Bowl appearance on Sunday.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl Odds

Tom Brady was drafted 199th overall.  Tom Brady started his second professional season as Drew Bledsoe’s backup and ended up taking over and leading the Patriots to the first of six Super Bowl titles.  Tom Brady spent 20 years on Bill Belichick’s roster and made it to the Super Bowl the first season after separating from the legendary coach.  The point?  Don’t count Tom Brady out.  Brady’s first year in Tampa Bay was his best statistical season since 2012.  He threw for 4,633 yards (third best in the NFL), 40 TDs (tied with Russell Wilson for second most in NFL) and completed 66 per cent of his passes.

This isn’t the same Bucs team that dropped a 27-24 decision in Tampa Bay to the Chiefs in Week 12.  Brady threw for 345 yards and three TDs in that game, but also threw two interceptions in the loss.  Rob Gronkowski picked up 106 receiving yards, averaging 17.7 yards per catch and Mike Evans hauled in a pair of TDs.  It’s taken time for the the Bucs to acclimate to new systems, but they actually haven’t lost a single game since that Week 12 loss, and they come into Sunday with seven straight wins.

For anyone counting the Bucs out, keep this in mind.  In 2014 Brady led a 10-point comeback over the Seahawks in Super Bowl 49 and in 2016 Brady trailed 28-3 midway through the third quarter before leading the comeback to beat the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl 51.  Brady loves to be the underdog and there is probably no other athlete in the world with as many come-from-behind or upset wins as Tom Brady.

2021 Super Bowl: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Bets

Moneyline: Tampa Bay comes in at +140 on the moneyline, so on a $100 bet you would win $140. This is a straight win or loss scenario. With weapons for Brady to hit like Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, this is a pretty decent value bet for a quarterback with six Super Bowl rings.

Point Spread: As 3-point underdogs, betting the spread for the Bucs means you win if Tampa Bay wins the game by any margin or loses by two or less points, while a three point loss would be a push.  The Bucs have been the better team against the spread this year, covering in 11 of 19 total games (regular season + playoffs).  Tampa covered in their last two games and four of their last five games overall.

Over/Under: The total for this game is 56.0 points. With Brady’s tendencies to throw almost as many interceptions as TDs most games, Tampa Bay hits the Over more times than not, hitting it in 11 of 19 games in the regular season and playoffs.  The combined average score for the Bucs and Chiefs this year was 60.35 points.

Tom Brady Total Passing Yards: The number is set at 300.5.  Brady threw for over 300 yards in just seven regular season games this year, but he has hit the number in four of his last six games overall.  Brady is also No. 1, No. 2 and No. 9 on the list of most passing yards in a Super Bowl game, all of which were well over 300 yards.

Most Receiving Yards:  Chris Godwin (+500) comes in with the best odds for a Bucs receiver to have the most receiving yards in the game, but the smart money might be on Mike Evans.  Evans is a better value at +700 and with only five more recptions, Evans had more total receiving yards (1,006) during the season than Godwin (840).

Super Bowl LV – MVP: After Patrick Mahomes, oddsmakers like Brady the most when it comes to the MVP.  Brady is +185, which is pretty decent value when you’re talking about a player with four Super Bowl MVPs already under his belt.  Evans (+2,500) and Godwin (+2,800) are nice sleeper options with big payouts.

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