Thunder vs. Celtics Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Jeremy Perry | Updated Mar 07, 2020

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 39-24 straight up and 38-24-1 against the spread, making them the most profitable club in the league.

March 08, 2020, 6:00 PM ET
TD Garden

Who would have thought that come March, the Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder would have similar records? After unloading Russell Westbrook and Paul George in the offseason, the Thunder were supposed to be in rebuilding mode but they enter Sunday’s contest with 39 wins, which is just three shy of the Celtcs. They’re on a roll right now as the Thunder have won two straight and seven of their last nine. With Celtics having lost three of four, is there an opening for the Thunder to do more than just cover in this contest?

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Thunder are 39-24 straight up (SU) and 38-24-1 against the spread (ATS). They’re the most profitable team in the league as you’d be up 11.6 units if you’ve been betting them this season.

Right behind the Thunder are the Celtics as they’re 42-20 SU and 37-24-1 ATS. They’re the second-most profitable team as they’ve paid bettors 10.6 units so far this season. No other teams in the NBA are even in double-digits (in terms of units won).

The Celtics are tough to beat at home as they’re 23-8 at the TD Garden. However, the Thunder’s 19 road wins are tied for the third-most in the Western Conference.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder’s regular season win total opened up at 32.5, so the fact that they’re already at 39 wins is incredible. They surprised a lot of people by being above .500 until the middle of January but they’ve really turned on the jets of late. It might be hard to believe but the Thunder are actually 16-5 in their last 21 games. To put that in perspective, the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks are 17-4 in their last 21 while the West-leading Los Angeles Lakers are 15-6.

It’s been a complete effort from the Thunder but they’ve been led by Chris Paul, who has played like a star. He is averaging 19.1 points per game along with 7.7 assists, 4.2 rebounds and 1.5 steals in his last 10. Danilo Gallinari is pouring 19.4 points per game in that span while Dennis Schroder is at 16.6 and Steven Adams is at 12.4.

This is a deep, well-coached team that is playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now. They’re more than capable of pulling the upset here on Sunday.

Boston Celtics

The Thunder are on a roll but one of their five losses in their last 21 games was at home to the Celtics, so Boston should feel good about that. The Celtics eked out a 112-11 win on Feb. 9 as their entire starting lineup scored in double figures. The Celtics were +9 on the glass and hit five more three-pointers, which was a big deciding factor in the game.

The Celtics are being led by Jayson Tatum these days, who has blossomed into a superstar. He is scoring 30.4 points per game over his last nine contests while shooting 48.7 percent from the field. He’s also adding 8.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.1 blocks and 1.4 steals. The key is to get a good game from Kemba Walker. He missed the last two weeks in February and has been a bit rusty in his first two games back. He’s shot just 33.3 percent from the field and 26.3 percent from three in his last two games. He’ll have to play better on Sunday.

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Celtics?