The Golden State Warriors had no issues dismissing their biggest challenge to the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference with a lopsided win over the Denver Nuggets on Friday night. Now they will try to gain a little more ground on them against an opponent they should have no problem taking down. The Warriors will host the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night and are a whopping 16-point favorite. However, the Warriors are just 3-3 in their last six, so they can’t afford to slipup here.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
After an absolutely brutal stretch in which they lost 17 in a row spanning from January in to February, Phoenix has shown signs of life with wins in four of its last six. The Suns are an NBA-worst 5-29 on the road this season and are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven away games.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 24-9 at home so far this season. Two of the Warriors last three losses came versus teams with losing records in the Orlando Magic and Miami Heat. Golden State is 27-12 versus Western Conference opponents so far this season. The Warriors were just 1-9 against the spread in their previous 10 games before Friday night’s lopsided win over the Nuggets.
It’s no secret how Phoenix has heated up over the past couple of weeks. Devin Booker has led the way with 26.7 points per game over the period two weeks heading into last night’s game before adding 23 against the Trail Blazers. Meanwhile, Kelly Oubre Jr. has stepped up big time with 18.0 points per game as he’s really broken out. The fact that the Suns have shown signs of life is a definite positive for a fan base that has watched them struggle all season. However, it’s unreasonable to expect Phoenix to go on the road and beat the league’s best team on their own floor. The question is whether or not they can cover. Given how they’ve played recently, one might say there’s a good chance but they’re in a back-to-back situation.
The Suns are 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road dog of 12.5 or more points.
Golden State Warriors
As good as they’ve been this season, the Warriors can’t afford a letdown the rest of the way as they attempt to lock up home court advantage for the playoffs. Kevin Durant, Steph Curry and Klay Thompson have each averaged over 24.0 points per game over the past two weeks. The problem is that Golden State had been giving up too many points. That changed in Friday night’s lopsided win over Denver and the hope is that becomes a spark for this team.
Golden State is a huge favorite in this spot but they’ve done well in this role this season. They are 55-3 in their last 58 as a home favorite of 12.5 or more and they’ve covered six of eight games in that role this season.