The Golden State Warriors are the overwhelming favourites to win the NBA championship when the playoffs roll around, but they’re continuing to disappoint their backers during the regular season. They return to Oakland to play the Indiana Pacers after a three-game road trip, but there are questions being raised about their advantage playing in front of an indifferent home crowd.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Indiana completes its four-game road swing at Golden State on Thursday night after going winless in its first three stops. The Pacers are fresh off a 6-point loss to the Los Angeles Clippers as 5.5-point underdogs on Tuesday night.
Nate McMillan’s squad is 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven away dates and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall. The under is 7-1 in the Pacers’ last eight games and 42-30 on the season.
The Dubs are coming off a 117-107 victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves as 6.5-point away favourites on Tuesday night. They went 3-1 straight up and against the number during their four-game road trip.
Coming back to the Oracle Arena might not be good news for G-State supporters. The Warriors are just 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home contests, and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Even worse, the team is just 2-14 against the number in their last 16 appearances on TNT’s Thursday night schedule.
These two teams played back in January and the Pacers got blown off their home court by the Dubs 132-100.
The Pacers are playoff-bound and appear destined to finish with either the fourth or fifth seed in the East. Indiana is 16 games over .500, but just 11-13 straight up since Victor Oladipo suffered a season-ending knee injury. The team is 10-14 ATS without Oladipo in 2019 and 3-6 straight up and against the spread in its last nine games overall.
Indiana operates by committee now with Myles Turner, Domantas Sabonis and Thaddeus Young all capable of showing up in a big way on a given night. Bojan Bogdanovic is the club’s most consistent threat on the offensive end. The 29-year-old sharpshooter is averaging 21.9 points per game since the All-Star break.
Golden State Warriors
There used to be no debating which team had the biggest home court advantage in the NBA. Oracle Arena was nicknamed Roarcle Arena because of its reputation. The loudest fans in the Association might have been priced out of venue as the Warriors have ascended.
Klay Thompson recently criticized the home fans for their lack of engagement and the Dubs can’t seem to cover a spread – no matter how big or small – in their own gym.