Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction, NBA Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Oct 27, 2022

Can the Golden State Warriors get their record back above .500 on Thursday when they host the Miami Heat?

Miami
44-38
AT
October 27, 2022, 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
Golden State
44-38
Pointspread +6 -107
Moneyline +197
Over / Under o +227.5

30%

Betting Action

70%

Pointspread -6 -113
Moneyline -237
Over / Under u +227.5

30%

Betting Action

70%

The Miami Heat finally got their first road win of the season ahead of their Thursday date with the Golden State Warriors. Miami was able to beat the previously undefeated Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday after Damian Lillard left the game early due to a calf injury. The Warriors will offer a much tougher test not just because it’s a back-to-back situation but also because the Warriors are the champs.

Golden State is coming off of a blowout loss to the Phoenix Suns and sit at 2-2, still not finding their rhythm just yet. Can the Heat get a second straight win here or will the Warriors shut them down?

Golden State is a 6.5-point favourite to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 227.5.

Heat vs. Warriors NBA Betting Odds

The Heat are 5-1 ATS during their last six road games when playing against a team with a home winning percentage that’s greater than .600 on the year. They are also 4-1 ATS in their past five road games. Unfortunately, they remain 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

When it comes to the Warriors, they have been a strong bounce back team for bettors as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when coming off of a straight-up loss. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a losing straight-up record on the season.

Miami Heat

The Heat are coming into this game being led by Jimmy Butler offensively. Butler leads all scorers with 23.0 points per game while Tyler Herro is right behind him at 21.0 points. One interesting development has been the lack of aggressiveness out of Bam Adebayo on the offensive end. He averages just 14.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game despite being a top-three option for them. His numbers are down across the board as he scored 19.1 last year and had 10.1 rebounds. He’s also just attempting 11.4 field goals per game, which is 1.6 less than last season. What’s even more surprising is his minutes are up. The Heat need him to be more productive if they’re to keep winning – especially on Thursday.

Outside of Miami’s best players, their depth needs to do more. The bench is scoring just 15.5 points per game, which ranks 23rd. This is a team that’s known for their depth but they have to be more productive.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State hasn’t looked like their championship form early in the year but they are still being carried by one of the point best guards of all time. Steph Curry is averaging 30.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game for the Warriors. Defending him at a high level opens the door for other talented scorers such as Andrew Wiggins, Jordan Poole, and Klay Thompson.

Speaking of Thompson, he’s been slightly underwhelming to kick off the year, which is likely why the Warriors are just 2-2. He averages just 11.0 points per game on 35.6 per cent shooting from the field and 28.6 per cent from behind the arc. He hasn’t averaged less than 20.4 points per game in any of the last six seasons, so the Warriors are hoping to get him back into form sooner rather than later.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Heat vs. Warriors?

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