Miami will look to extend its dominance against the spread when it faces off with Golden State on Wednesday at the Chase Center. in a meeting of the last two teams to lose in the NBA Finals. The Heat have covered eight of the last 10 head-to-head encounters between the teams, and Miami would love that trend to continue as they seek to end a two-game losing skid. The Warriors have won three of their last four and are coming off a 129-98 drubbing of Cleveland, their last time out.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This game will likely settle close to a pick ‘em, which is heavy praise for a Heat team that has gone just 4-9 straight up, on the road so far this season. Miami has covered in just three of its past 12 games overall, and is a dismal 9-17-1 ATS so far in 2020-21. The Warriors are 14-14 ATS on the year but have been slightly better at home (9-7) than on the road (5-7). That said, Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games vs. the Eastern Conference.

The total for this one should come in around 224, which will mark just the second time in nine games that Golden State has seen a number south of 225. The Warriors have cashed the Under in four of their previous five games overall, and are an identical 4-1 to the Under in their last five home games. Miami is also trending in that direction with a 2-5 O/U record in its past seven contests, with five games in that span seeing totals of 217 or lower.

Miami Heat

The Heat have struggled to find the form that saw them march to an NBA Finals appearance last fall. And it isn’t difficult to understand why: Miami simply hasn’t been able to handle the league’s upper echelon. The Heat come into Wednesday’s encounter having gone just 1-10 against teams above .500 so far this season, the second-worst record in that situation among East teams. Miami was 17-14 SU against teams with winning records last year.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors might be clinging to the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference for the time being, but they’re in a similar boat as the Heat. Golden State is just 5-11 SU against teams with records of .500 or better – and with the West’s top teams looking far superior to those in the East so far, improving that record will be critical to the Warriors’ success. On the plus side: The Warriors are 10-2 against teams below .500, and the Heat fall into that category.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Heat vs. Warriors?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Heat Team Leaders

MIA

Points	Jimmy Butler 21.46
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7.1
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 8.95
FG%	Udonis Haslem 100
Steals	Jimmy Butler 2.08
Blocks	Bam Adebayo 1.03

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 31.98
Assists	Draymond Green 8.86
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.11
FG%	Gary Payton II 76.9
Steals	Draymond Green 1.67
Blocks	Jordan Bell 2

MIA

Points	Goran Dragic 16
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 9.25
FG%	Precious Achiuwa 75
Steals	Bam Adebayo 1.25
Blocks	Precious Achiuwa 0.67

GS

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Warriors Team Leaders

MIA

Points	Jimmy Butler 21.46
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7.1
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 8.95
FG%	Udonis Haslem 100
Steals	Jimmy Butler 2.08
Blocks	Bam Adebayo 1.03

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 31.98
Assists	Draymond Green 8.86
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.11
FG%	Gary Payton II 76.9
Steals	Draymond Green 1.67
Blocks	Jordan Bell 2

MIA

Points	Goran Dragic 16
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 9.25
FG%	Precious Achiuwa 75
Steals	Bam Adebayo 1.25
Blocks	Precious Achiuwa 0.67

GS

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

Injuries

Miami

Goran Dragic (PG)

Ques Sun Rest - 16 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Ques Sat Back - 15 / 05 / 21

Kendrick Nunn (PG)

Ques Sat Calf - 13 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Ques Thurs Eye - 12 / 05 / 21

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Ques Sun Quadricep - 08 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Prob Fri Flu - 04 / 05 / 21

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Prob Tues Hip - 03 / 05 / 21

Goran Dragic (PG)

Prob Sun Back - 02 / 05 / 21

Nemanja Bjelica (PF)

Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 05 / 21

Gabe Vincent (SG)

Ques Sun Knee - 30 / 04 / 21

Golden State

Jordan Poole (SG)

Prob Sun Ankle - 15 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Ques Sun Finger - 14 / 05 / 21

Andrew Wiggins (SF)

Prob Sun Knee - 14 / 05 / 21

Mychal Mulder (SG)

Ques Fri Foot - 13 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Prob Tues Hip - 04 / 05 / 21

Andrew Wiggins (SF)

Out Mon Knee - 03 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Prob Sat Back - 01 / 05 / 21

Kelly Oubre Jr. (SF)

Early June Wrist - 28 / 04 / 21

Kent Bazemore (SG)

Prob Thurs Illness - 23 / 04 / 21

Damion Lee (SG)

Out indefinitely Illness - 20 / 04 / 21

Injuries

Miami

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Goran Dragic (PG)	Ques Sun	Rest - 16 / 05 / 21	2-3	2-3	+ -
Dragic is projected to receive a day of rest on Sunday versus the Pistons.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Ques Sat	Back - 15 / 05 / 21	3-3	2-4	+ -
Butler is nursing a lower-back injury, and it is unclear if he will be available for the Eastern Conference first round versus the Bucks.
Kendrick Nunn (PG)	Ques Sat	Calf - 13 / 05 / 21	4-3	3-4	+ -
Nunn exited the last game with left calf soreness, and it remains to be seen if he will dress for Saturday's battle with the Bucks.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Ques Thurs	Eye - 12 / 05 / 21	4-3	3-4	+ -
Butler sustained an eye injury in the previous game, and it is unknown if he will take on the 76ers on Thursday.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Ques Sun	Quadricep - 08 / 05 / 21	6-3	5-4	+ -
Iguodala is tending to a quadricep injury, and it is unknown if he will be in the lineup for Sunday's game against he Celtics.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Prob Fri	Flu - 04 / 05 / 21	7-4	7-4	+ -
Butler missed the last game due to flu-like symptoms, but it is expected that he will face the Timberwolves on Friday.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Prob Tues	Hip - 03 / 05 / 21	7-4	7-4	+ -
Iguodala is dealing with a hip injury, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Mavericks on Tuesday.
Goran Dragic (PG)	Prob Sun	Back - 02 / 05 / 21	8-4	8-4	+ -
Dragic is bothered by a back injury, but he is projected to lace up for Sunday's game against the Hornets.
Nemanja Bjelica (PF)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 01 / 05 / 21	8-4	9-4	+ -
Bjelica is sidelined due to a stomach illness, and it is unclear when he will be available to return to the lineup.
Gabe Vincent (SG)	Ques Sun	Knee - 30 / 04 / 21	8-4	9-4	+ -
Vincent is tending to a knee injury, and it is unknow if he will play in Sunday's game versus the Hornets.

Golden State

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Jordan Poole (SG)	Prob Sun	Ankle - 15 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Poole is expected to dress for Sunday's tilt with the Grizzlies despite a left ankle sprain.
Draymond Green (PF)	Ques Sun	Finger - 14 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Green sat out the previous game with a finger injury, and it is unknown if he will play Sunday versus the Grizzlies.
Andrew Wiggins (SF)	Prob Sun	Knee - 14 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Wiggins missed the last game due to a knee injury, but it is projected that he will line up against the Grizzlies on Sunday.
Mychal Mulder (SG)	Ques Fri	Foot - 13 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Mulder is nursing a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Pelicans on Friday.
Draymond Green (PF)	Prob Tues	Hip - 04 / 05 / 21	7-1	4-4	+ -
Green is managing a hip injury, but it is likely that he will face the Pelicans on Tuesday.
Andrew Wiggins (SF)	Out Mon	Knee - 03 / 05 / 21	8-1	4-5	+ -
Wiggins is dealing with right knee soreness, and he will not play in Monday's game versus the Pelicans.
Draymond Green (PF)	Prob Sat	Back - 01 / 05 / 21	8-2	5-5	+ -
Green is bothered by a left trapezius contusion, but is it projected that he will be available to face the Rockets on Saturday.
Kelly Oubre Jr. (SF)	Early June	Wrist - 28 / 04 / 21	8-4	6-6	+ -
Oubre Jr. is sidelined with left wrist soreness, and he is not expected to return to the court until the early part of June.
Kent Bazemore (SG)	Prob Thurs	Illness - 23 / 04 / 21	9-5	6-8	+ -
Bazemore has been added to the COVID-19 injured list, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
Damion Lee (SG)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 20 / 04 / 21	10-5	6-9	+ -
Lee is sidelined while going through the NBA's health and safety protocols, and it has yet to be established when he will return.