Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Prediction, NBA Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated Oct 26, 2023

NBA: Boston Celtics at New York Knicks

A new chapter will be written in the Miami Heat-Boston Celtics rivalry when they cross paths at TD Garden on Friday night.

Miami
46-36
AT
October 27, 2023, 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Boston
64-18
Pointspread -8.5 -125
Pointspread ++8.5 -105

There aren’t many matchups in the NBA that get as juicy as when the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics take to the hardwood floor. Close calls in the regular season year after year and extremely familiar postseason foes, there is plenty to get excited about. Both are coming off opening wins, as the Heat took out the Pistons and the Celtics overcame the Knicks.

Check the NBA odds as they develop.

Heat vs. Celtics NBA Betting Odds

The story of the Heat vs. Celtics rivalry is virtually in “legendary” territory at this stage. Everything from the LeBron Game 6 performance in 2012, the multiple, highly engaging regular season matchups, to the fact that three times in four years each side has represented the East in the NBA Finals by way of defeating the other in the conference finals. There is no shortage of excitement when Miami and Boston lock heads.

What’s most recent in fans’ memories is last year’s Eastern Conference finals which went 7 games in the most beguiling way imaginable. Miami raced out to a 3-0 series lead, then relinquished said advantage – which included a wild Game 6 finish – only to win Game 7 at TD Garden in Boston, a match Jayson Tatum had to exit seconds in due to an injury.

The Heat have covered the spread a lot more than the Celtics in these matchups, accomplishing the feat seven times in the last 10 opportunities. As for the over-under, it’s all even at 5-5 during that span.

Miami Heat

With only one game played on the calendar, it’s tricky to discern what should be made of Miami’s 103-102 home opening win against the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. The Pistons have been one of the worst teams in the league for several years, so was this a sign that they’ve improved? Did Miami take them for granted? Who’s to say?

In any event, there were a lot of positives to take away from this game. Miami continues to be a good team when driving to the basket. Getting to the line 26 times and hitting 21 free throw shots is definitely one way for a club to put itself in a position to win a game. The three-point shooting continues to be average (36.4 per cent). What surely took a few Heat fans by surprise was how they allowed Detroit to get back in the game despite leading by 14 points with less than five minutes to play. Suddenly they couldn’t get a shot or a stop. First round draftee Jaime Marquez Jr. got 13 minutes of playing time and looked good, but it was the usual suspects who caused most of the damage: Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kevin Lowry.

Boston Celtics

There is a slight irony to the fact that Miami, Boston’s next opponent, is billed as a great rival when the Celtics just opened their season with a win over the New York Knicks. Not that there isn’t some love lost between these sides, but it’s not like on the gridiron or baseball field.

Sometimes one can tell how much coaching has to do with a style of play over a long period of games. Much like last season, Boston came out swinging, grabbing a 30-18 first-quarter lead, and led for most of the night until the Knicks found their groove and took command in the fourth quarter. Another late effort was required to make up for some lackadaisical second-half basketball.

It’s easy to point to Jayson Tatum’s 34-point night because that’s just what he does, but new signing Kristaps Porzingis endeared himself to the Celtics faithful with 30 points of his own. He won’t do that on a nightly basis but it’s a heck of a way to start one’s Celtics career. Jrue Holiday made his Boston debut as well, although put in a more muted performance (since points,+3). Make the final 108-104 for Boston.

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