Mavericks vs. Clippers Game 3 Prediction: NBA Playoff Odds, Point Spread

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 20, 2020

Luka Doncic, Mavericks, 2020

Luka Doncic became the second player in NBA postseason history to score 70 points through his first two career playoff games, joining Hall of Famer George Mikan (75 in 1949).

AT
August 21, 2020, 9:00 PM ET
The Arena
Dallas
43-32
Pointspread -5.5 -110
Moneyline -210
Over / Under o +231.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread +5.5 -110
Moneyline +175
Over / Under u +231.5

58%

Betting Action

42%

The winner of Game 3 in a tied best-of-7 NBA playoff series usually goes on to take the series, so it’s a crucial Western Conference first-round matchup Friday between the second-seeded Los Angeles Clippers and No. 7 Dallas Mavericks from the Orlando bubble. L.A. opened as a 5-point favourite on the NBA odds.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Dallas upset Los Angeles 127-114 in Game 2 on Wednesday to tie the series at 1-1, and the Mavs will be the “home” team for the first time Friday, although that only means different uniforms and virtual Dallas fans and court setup.

The total of 232.5 for Game 3 is easily the highest number of Friday’s four games from Orlando. The favoured winning margin is Clippers by 3-6 points at +450. Dallas winning by 13 points again is +1600. The long shot is Mavericks by 21 or more at +4000.

On the updated futures odds, the Clippers are -500 series favourites with the Mavs at +350. In a bit of a surprise, L.A. winning in five is the favoured exact series result at +225. The Clippers remain +150 Western Conference favourites, with Dallas at +1800.

Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers were somewhat fortunate to win Game 1 as they were trailing by five points in the third quarter until Dallas big man Kristaps Porzingis was ejected for two very questionable technical fouls. In Game 2, Los Angeles was simply the inferior team, although it wasn’t helped by starting point guard Patrick Beverley sitting out in a surprise with a left calf injury. Beverley, a defensive dynamo, did play in Game 1. He’s questionable for Friday.

Reggie Jackson is a much better scorer than Beverley and had 11 points on Wednesday but is terrible on defence. Former Raptor Kawhi Leonard did his part in Game 2 with 35 points and 10 rebounds, but Paul George did not as he battled foul trouble and was 4-for-17 from the field for 14 points. George has a bit of a history of struggling in playoff games. The Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their past nine following a double-digit loss.

Dallas Mavericks

One huge difference for the Mavs in Game 2 was that they had just nine turnovers compared to 21 in Game 1 when superstar Luka Doncic had a career-high 11. He had just one Wednesday and had 28 points, eight rebounds and seven assists despite being limited to 28 minutes due to foul trouble. Doncic became the second player in NBA postseason history to score 70 points through his first two career playoff games, joining Hall of Famer George Mikan (75 in 1949).

Porzingis was a bit in question for Game 2 with a sore knee but had 23 points and seven rebounds. The Clippers have the best bench in the league, but it was the Dallas bench that stepped up in Game 2 with 47 points. No Mavericks reserve had a negative plus-minus rating. Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its past five after a win.

Who Will Win Clippers vs. Mavericks?

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