Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics Prediction, NBA Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated Nov 22, 2023

NBA: Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards

On the eve of Thanksgiving the NBA offers one of the marquee games of the season as the Milwaukee Bucks visit TD Garden to play the Boston Celtics.

November 22, 2023, 7:30 PM ET
TD Garden
Pointspread +6.5 -115
Moneyline +220
Over / Under o +235.5
Pointspread -6.5 -105
Moneyline -275
Over / Under u +235.5

Last year it was a Christmas Day matchup. This season it’s as Americans gear up for their long Thanksgiving weekend. Whatever the occasion, Bucks-Celtics games are to be cherished. Milwaukee continues its road trip after vanquishing the Wizards on Monday night, 142-129. Boston tripped up in Charlotte on the same evening, losing in overtime to the Hornets, 121-118.

The NBA odds deem the host Celtics as -5.5 favourites for the game.

Bucks vs. Celtics NBA Betting Odds

The magnitude of Milwaukee-Boston contests has risen considerably over the past three to four seasons. A couple of playoff meetings and regular races to finish first in the Eastern Conference make these matches all the more special.

Including playoffs, Boston hods a slight 6-4 edge over the past 10 editions. The bewildering outlier – or not, in hindsight – was a late regular season bout in Milwaukee, a playoff preview everyone argued, in which the Celtics hammered their rivals 140-99. Fans would find out a few weeks later that the Bucks were not the playoff contender they believed in. Since then enter Damian Lillard, of course.

After a sluggish start to the season, the Bucks appear to have found their footing. At 10-4, they look strong, especially with a good win over the Mavericks on Saturday. That said, they have a hill to climb if they want to improve their spread record. It’s 5-8-1, although they have covered thrice in a row.

In contrast, Boston has failed to cover three nights in a row. It’s dropped their ATS tally to 6-6-2. They’ve been playing extremely close games on the road lately – playing with fire, some might say – and even winning them hasn’t been enough to cover.

Milwaukee Bucks

One of the two clubs involved in Wednesday’s mouth-watering matchup might have been looking ahead on Monday, but it wasn’t the Bucks. They handled their business in Washington versus the Wizards 142-129.

It was a spectacularly high-scoring contest, with Giannis Antetokounmpo earning a game-high 42 points—more than once he got his own rebound to slam home buckets. Speaking of working in the paint, this was an old-school game (not defensively, mind you). Milwaukee scored 64 points in that area of the court and Washington an incredible 84! Small wonder both sides had shooting efficiencies over 55 per cent. The Wizards could not work against the Bucks off the glass, however, with the visitors ensnaring 55 rebounds to 26. Bobby Portis came off the bench for 17 points. Damian Lillard was okay but nothing special, tallying 22 points but on 5-for-14 shooting.

Milwaukee will have to be careful on Wednesday. Their defence has taken a big hit this season (23rd), as has its rebounding (21st), two categories in which Boston is a top-five side.

Boston Celtics

We hinted that one of the two teams playing on Monday may have had their minds elsewhere. Boston had a nice second-half lead against a Charlotte squad that hasn’t accomplished much this season, yet by the final horn they stared at a 121-118 overtime defeat.

Sometimes even great teams get too cocky. The Celtics aren’t a terrific assist team (24.5 per game, close to the bottom of the league) but Monday’s 19 was egregiously low. As the third and fourth quarters wound down and the Hornets made their comeback that sent the match into the extra session, Boston’s paint defence grew softer and softer. The Hornets comfortably scored layups and dunks when it mattered most, whereas the Celtics went cold. The visitors were uncharacteristically poor at the line, going 18-for-28.

Jayson Tatum had a thrilling game, netting 45 points and 13 boards, but the loss will have many forget all about it. Likewise for Payton Pritchard, who rattled five of his eight shots from distance and finished with 21 points. Credit to the bench, which had vastly superior +/- numbers than any of the starters.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Bucks vs. Celtics?

NBA Predictions