UFC 249 Odds: Uriah Hall vs. Ronaldo Souza Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated May 07, 2020

uriah hall ufc 249

Since struggling through a three-fight losing streak, Uriah Hall has won three of his past four. He's a short underdog against Jacare Souza on Saturday.

In another time, a matchup between veterans like Uriah Hall and Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza might headline a UFC Fight Night card. But these are no ordinary times and Saturday’s UFC 249 is no ordinary card. This bout is slated for the the prelims on Saturday. Check out our full UFC odds board for the entire card and latest numbers.

Uriah Hall vs. Ronaldo Souza UFC 249 Odds

The middleweight champion is Israel Adesanya with Hall ranked 10th in the division and Souza 14th – as a lightweight. More on that in a second. Souza (26-8) is a -130 favourite on the UFC odds page with Hall (15-9) at +100.

The 40-year-old Souza, perhaps better known as “Jacare,” is from Brazil and has been fighting professionally since 2003. He is an eight-time world Jiu-Jitsu champion and has been a part of a handful of MMA organizations – he was a Strikeforce middleweight champion — and debuted in the UFC in May 2013 with a technical submission win over Chris Camozzi.

Souza has not gotten a title shot in the UFC and those days are probably over at his age. He moved up to light heavyweight for his most recent bout but lost via split decision to Jan Blachowicz last November as a -200 favourite in his native Brazil. It was Souza’s fourth loss in his past six fights. Apparently, that move up in weight was just a one-time thing.

UFC 249 - Uriah Hall v Ronaldo Souza

  • Ronaldo Souza -130
  • Uriah Hall +100

When Souza wins, the fights are usually short as those bouts average around 6:40, or 1.3 rounds. When he losses, they last nearly three rounds. Souza has won 54 per cent of his fights by submission and 31 per cent by KO or TKO. The majority of his losses (53 per cent) are by decision. His favoured method of victory Saturday is by submission at +270 with by decision at +350 and KO, TKO or disqualification at +385. Souza averages 2.54 significant strikes per minute and 2.46 takedowns per 15 minutes.

The 35-year-old Hall was born in Jamaica but now resides in New York City and is a former professional kickboxer. “Primetime” made his professional debut in 2005 – he was a ROC middleweight champion — and his UFC debut in 2013 with a loss to Kelvin Gastelum via split decision in “the Ultimate Fighter 17” finale.

Since a three-fight losing streak, Hall has won three of his past four. He fought just once in 2019 and beat Antonio Carlos Jr. by split decision at UFC Fight Night 158 in Vancouver. When Hall wins, the fight averages about 1.6 rounds, while in his losses they average 2.0 rounds. A total of 11 of his 15 victories are by KO/TKO, while five of his defeats are by decision and four by KO/TKO.

Hall’s favoured method of victory is by KO, TKO or disqualification at +270, followed by decision at +325 and via submission at +2300 – the latter odds not a surprise considering Hall has one submission win and Souza has never lost that way. Hall averages 3.31 significant strikes landed per minutes and just 0.75 takedowns per 15 minutes. Clearly, he will want to keep this fight standing up.

UFC 249 Predictions: Uriah Hall vs. Ronaldo Souza

UFC 249 - Uriah Hall v Ronaldo Souza

Method of Victory
  • Uriah Hall by KO TKO or Disqualification +270
  • Ronaldo Souza by Submission +270
  • Uriah Hall by Decision or Technical Decision +325
  • Ronaldo Souza by Decision or Technical Decision +350
  • Ronaldo Souza by KO TKO or Disqualification +385
  • Uriah Hall by Submission +2300
  • Draw or Technical Draw +3500

The over/under rounds for this scheduled three-rounder is 2.5, with the over a slight -120 favourite. That it does the distance is +135 with no at -175. That Hall-Souza is the shortest fight on the entire UFC 249 card is +900. Back Souza by decision.